About the Author:
Ganesh Mahnar is a keen observer of Indian Political System. He is by qualification a Natural Resource Economist, working on Livelihood enhancement in Rural India. He respects integrity and honesty in every walk of life. Has agreed to provide data for this post for Politicalbaaba. http://www.politicalbaaba.com thanks him for his gesture and good work.
Twitter handle:@ganeshmahnar
Ganesh Manhar predicts 47 seats for BJP+ (including Apna Dal). 18 seats have very close contest and are tough to predict according to him. Views expressed by the author are personal.
Politicalbaaba estimates 38 seats for NDA, 12 seats for Samajwadi Party, 18 seats for Bahujan Samaj Party, 9 seats for Congress, 2 for Others and 1 for AAP.
| S. No. | Constituency | Category | Polling Date | Winning Party | Runner Up |
| 1 | Saharanpur | GEN | 10-Apr | Tough Fight BJP & cong | |
| 2 | Kairana | GEN | 10-Apr | BJP | |
| 3 | Muzaffarnagar | GEN | 10-Apr | BJP | |
| 4 | Bijnor | GEN | 10-Apr | BJP | RLD |
| 5 | Nagina | (SC) | 17-Apr | BJP | |
| 6 | Moradabad | GEN | 17-Apr | Tough Fight BJP & BSP | Anyone |
| 7 | Rampur | GEN | 17-Apr | SP | Cong |
| 8 | Sambhal | GEN | 17-Apr | BJP | SP |
| 9 | Amroha | GEN | 17-Apr | BJP | BSP |
| 10 | Meerut | GEN | 10-Apr | BJP | SP |
| 11 | Baghpat | GEN | 10-Apr | RLD Ajit Singh | BJP |
| 12 | Ghaziabad | GEN | 10-Apr | BJP | AAP + cong |
| 13 | Gautam Buddha Nagar | GEN | 10-Apr | BJP | SP |
| 14 | Bulandshahr | (SC) | 10-Apr | bjp | |
| 15 | Aligarh | GEN | 10-Apr | BJP | SP |
| 16 | Hathras | (SC) | 24-Apr | BSP | |
| 17 | Mathura | GEN | 24-Apr | Tough fight RLD Vs BJP | |
| 18 | Agra | (SC) | 24-Apr | BJP | SP |
| 19 | Fatehpur Sikri | GEN | 24-Apr | RLD Amar Singh | any one |
| 20 | Firozabad | GEN | 24-Apr | BJP | BSP |
| 21 | Mainpuri | GEN | 24-Apr | SP Safe seat | |
| 22 | Etah | GEN | 24-Apr | BJP | SP |
| 23 | Badaun | GEN | 17-Apr | BSP | |
| 24 | Aonla | GEN | 17-Apr | BJP | |
| 25 | Bareilly | GEN | 17-Apr | BJP | SP |
| 26 | Pilibhit | GEN | 17-Apr | BJP | SP |
| 27 | Shahjahanpur | (SC) | 17-Apr | any one BSP, SP, BJP | |
| 28 | Kheri | GEN | 17-Apr | BJP | BSP |
| 29 | Dhaurahra | GEN | 30-Apr | BJP | |
| 30 | Sitapur | GEN | 30-Apr | BJP | |
| 31 | Hardoi | (SC) | 24-Apr | any one BSP, SP, BJP | |
| 32 | Misrikh | (SC) | 30-Apr | tough to call | |
| 33 | Unnao | GEN | 30-Apr | BJP | |
| 34 | Mohanlalganj | (SC) | 30-Apr | SP | |
| 35 | Lucknow | GEN | 30-Apr | BJP Safe seat | |
| 36 | Rae Bareli | GEN | 30-Apr | Cong | BJP |
| 37 | Amethi | GEN | 7-May | Cong | BJP |
| 38 | Sultanpur | GEN | 7-May | BJP | SP |
| 39 | Pratapgarh | GEN | 7-May | tough fight ong, SP | |
| 40 | Farrukhabad | GEN | 24-Apr | BJP | Salman Khurseed on fourth |
| 41 | Etawah | (SC) | 24-Apr | SP | BJP |
| 42 | Kannauj | GEN | 24-Apr | SP | BJP |
| 43 | Kanpur | GEN | 30-Apr | BJP | Sri Prakash Jaiswal |
| 44 | Akbarpur | GEN | 24-Apr | BJP | congress |
| 45 | Jalaun | (SC) | 30-Apr | close | |
| 46 | Jhansi | GEN | 30-Apr | BJP | |
| 47 | Hamirpur | GEN | 30-Apr | any one BSP, SP, BJP | |
| 48 | Banda | GEN | 30-Apr | fight to close | |
| 49 | Fatehpur | GEN | 30-Apr | BJP | |
| 50 | Kaushambi | (SC) | 7-May | any one BSP, SP, BJP | |
| 51 | Phulpur | GEN | 7-May | tough to predict four cornered | |
| 52 | Allahabad | GEN | 7-May | BJP | SP |
| 53 | Barabanki | (SC) | 30-Apr | BJP | Cong |
| 54 | Faizabad | GEN | 7-May | SP | BJP |
| 55 | Ambedkar Nagar | GEN | 7-May | BSP | SP |
| 56 | Bahraich | (SC) | 7-May | BJP | SP |
| 57 | Kaiserganj | GEN | 7-May | BJP | |
| 58 | Shravasti | GEN | 7-May | bjp | |
| 59 | Gonda | GEN | 7-May | BJP | Beni Prasad Verma loose |
| 60 | Domariyaganj | GEN | 12-May | BJP | |
| 61 | Basti | GEN | 7-May | tough to call | |
| 62 | Sant Kabir Nagar | GEN | 7-May | tough to call | |
| 63 | Maharajganj | GEN | 12-May | BJP upper hand but tough fight | |
| 64 | Gorakhpur | GEN | 12-May | BJP | SP |
| 65 | Kushi Nagar | GEN | 12-May | BJP | RPN Singh |
| 66 | Deoria | GEN | 12-May | BJP | SP |
| 67 | Bansgaon | (SC) | 12-May | tough fight | |
| 68 | Lalganj | (SC) | 12-May | bjp | |
| 69 | Azamgarh | GEN | 12-May | SP | BJP |
| 70 | Ghosi | GEN | 12-May | Mukhtar Ansari | |
| 71 | Salempur | GEN | 12-May | BJP | |
| 72 | Ballia | GEN | 12-May | tough fight | not easy |
| 72 | Jaunpur | GEN | 12-May | BJP | |
| 74 | Machhlishahr | (SC) | 12-May | tough fight | |
| 75 | Ghazipur | GEN | 12-May | BJP | |
| 76 | Chandauli | GEN | 12-May | BJP | |
| 77 | Varanasi | GEN | 12-May | BJP | No One in fight (most will loose deposit) |
| 78 | Bhadohi | GEN | 7-May | bjp | |
| 79 | Mirzapur | GEN | 12-May | bjp+ | |
| 80 | Robertsganj | (SC) | 12-May | bjp |
