- Since 1985, the state has never re-elected the incumbent party.
|Chief Minister||Janata Party||INC||Janata Dal (Secular)||INC||Hung
a. INC (1yr 245 days)
b. JD(S) (1yr 253 days)
c. BJP (7 days)
- Power changes hands at the end of every five years in Karnataka.
- No chief minister has returned to power in Karnataka since Ramakrishna Hegde in 1985.
- From 1985 to 1999 the power oscillated between Janata Dal constituents and Congress party.
- The trend was broken in 2004 when people gave a hung verdict. Congress managed to retain Chief Minister’s chair with support of JD(S).
- 2004-2008 was a period of instability and the state witnessed 3 Chief Ministerial tenures, one from each party.
- In 2008, BJP won the state largely on the sympathy wave created due to JDS decision of not honuoring its commitment to coalition and pulling down Yeddyurappa as CM within a week.
- The Lingayats and upper caste solidly backed BJP (33.86%) which emerged victorious despite getting lesser votes than Congress (34.76%).
- The state returned to its trend of throwing out incumbent party in 2013 when Congress made a comeback due to split within BJP as Yeddyurappa and Reddy brothers contested independently.
- Will this trend continue in 2018? If it continues, who will be the beneficiary – BJP or JD(S)?
- Or will there be a hung assembly situation like in 2004?