Uttar Pradesh Seat Wise Projections: By @ganeshmahnar

About the Author: 

Ganesh Mahnar is a keen observer of  Indian Political System. He is by qualification a Natural Resource Economist, working on Livelihood enhancement in Rural India. He respects integrity and honesty in every walk of life. Has agreed to provide data for this post for Politicalbaaba. http://www.politicalbaaba.com thanks him for his gesture and good work. 
Twitter handle:@ganeshmahnar
Ganesh Manhar predicts 47 seats for BJP+ (including Apna Dal). 18 seats have very close contest and are tough to predict according to him. Views expressed by the author are personal.
Politicalbaaba estimates 38 seats for NDA, 12 seats for Samajwadi Party, 18 seats for Bahujan Samaj Party, 9 seats for Congress, 2 for Others and 1 for AAP. 
S. No. Constituency Category Polling Date Winning Party Runner Up
1 Saharanpur GEN 10-Apr Tough Fight BJP & cong  
2 Kairana GEN 10-Apr BJP  
3 Muzaffarnagar GEN 10-Apr BJP  
4 Bijnor GEN 10-Apr BJP RLD
5 Nagina (SC) 17-Apr BJP  
6 Moradabad GEN 17-Apr Tough Fight BJP & BSP Anyone
7 Rampur GEN 17-Apr SP Cong
8 Sambhal GEN 17-Apr BJP SP
9 Amroha GEN 17-Apr BJP BSP
10 Meerut GEN 10-Apr BJP SP
11 Baghpat GEN 10-Apr RLD Ajit Singh BJP
12 Ghaziabad GEN 10-Apr BJP AAP + cong
13 Gautam Buddha Nagar GEN 10-Apr BJP SP
14 Bulandshahr (SC) 10-Apr bjp  
15 Aligarh GEN 10-Apr BJP SP
16 Hathras (SC) 24-Apr BSP  
17 Mathura GEN 24-Apr Tough fight RLD Vs BJP  
18 Agra (SC) 24-Apr BJP SP
19 Fatehpur Sikri GEN 24-Apr RLD Amar Singh any one
20 Firozabad GEN 24-Apr BJP BSP
21 Mainpuri GEN 24-Apr SP Safe seat  
22 Etah GEN 24-Apr BJP SP
23 Badaun GEN 17-Apr BSP  
24 Aonla GEN 17-Apr BJP  
25 Bareilly GEN 17-Apr BJP SP
26 Pilibhit GEN 17-Apr BJP SP
27 Shahjahanpur (SC) 17-Apr any one BSP, SP, BJP  
28 Kheri GEN 17-Apr BJP BSP
29 Dhaurahra GEN 30-Apr BJP  
30 Sitapur GEN 30-Apr BJP  
31 Hardoi (SC) 24-Apr any one BSP, SP, BJP  
32 Misrikh (SC) 30-Apr tough to call  
33 Unnao GEN 30-Apr BJP  
34 Mohanlalganj (SC) 30-Apr SP  
35 Lucknow GEN 30-Apr BJP Safe seat  
36 Rae Bareli GEN 30-Apr Cong BJP
37 Amethi GEN 7-May Cong BJP
38 Sultanpur GEN 7-May BJP SP
39 Pratapgarh GEN 7-May tough fight ong, SP  
40 Farrukhabad GEN 24-Apr BJP Salman Khurseed on fourth
41 Etawah (SC) 24-Apr SP BJP
42 Kannauj GEN 24-Apr SP BJP
43 Kanpur GEN 30-Apr BJP Sri Prakash Jaiswal
44 Akbarpur GEN 24-Apr BJP congress
45 Jalaun (SC) 30-Apr close  
46 Jhansi GEN 30-Apr BJP  
47 Hamirpur GEN 30-Apr any one BSP, SP, BJP  
48 Banda GEN 30-Apr fight to close  
49 Fatehpur GEN 30-Apr BJP  
50 Kaushambi (SC) 7-May any one BSP, SP, BJP  
51 Phulpur GEN 7-May tough to predict four cornered  
52 Allahabad GEN 7-May BJP SP
53 Barabanki (SC) 30-Apr BJP Cong
54 Faizabad GEN 7-May SP BJP
55 Ambedkar Nagar GEN 7-May BSP SP
56 Bahraich (SC) 7-May BJP SP
57 Kaiserganj GEN 7-May BJP  
58 Shravasti GEN 7-May bjp  
59 Gonda GEN 7-May BJP Beni Prasad Verma loose
60 Domariyaganj GEN 12-May BJP  
61 Basti GEN 7-May tough to call  
62 Sant Kabir Nagar GEN 7-May tough to call  
63 Maharajganj GEN 12-May BJP upper hand but tough fight  
64 Gorakhpur GEN 12-May BJP SP
65 Kushi Nagar GEN 12-May BJP RPN Singh
66 Deoria GEN 12-May BJP SP
67 Bansgaon (SC) 12-May tough fight  
68 Lalganj (SC) 12-May bjp  
69 Azamgarh GEN 12-May SP BJP
70 Ghosi GEN 12-May Mukhtar Ansari  
71 Salempur GEN 12-May BJP  
72 Ballia GEN 12-May tough fight not easy 
72 Jaunpur GEN 12-May BJP  
74 Machhlishahr (SC) 12-May tough fight  
75 Ghazipur GEN 12-May BJP  
76 Chandauli GEN 12-May BJP  
77 Varanasi GEN 12-May BJP No One in fight (most will loose deposit)
78 Bhadohi GEN 7-May bjp  
79 Mirzapur GEN 12-May bjp+  
80 Robertsganj (SC) 12-May bjp  


  1. Thanks for this deep analysis…Most of your predictions looks good…i just had some doubts over sambhal as BJP candidate is not that strong…had there been a little more famous candidate the seat was clear this time…


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